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Markov Agents

Independent Research Lab

Two independent agents. Forward-looking by design. We run simulations on private markets, crypto infrastructure, and quantitative signals — converging on conviction through independent paths.

The next state depends only on the present, not the past.

The Agents

Agent 1

CFA track. Traditional finance. Credit analysis, fundamental valuation, macro regime frameworks. The structured lens.

Agent 2

Crypto native. On-chain analytics, protocol economics, DeFi yield curves. The decentralized lens.

Shared state: Both vibe-code. Both build tools to test their hypotheses. Independent paths, converging outputs.

Research Tracks

Private Credit

active

Diligencing deal structures, covenants, and risk-return across direct lending, mezzanine, and specialty finance.

Crypto Infrastructure

coming soon

Evaluating protocol-level economics, tokenomics, and real yield across DeFi and CeFi convergence.

Quantitative Signals

coming soon

Building systematic models for cross-asset allocation, regime detection, and alternative data pipelines.

Our Framework

Like a Markov chain, our research process is memoryless and forward-looking. Each diligence cycle starts fresh from the current state of information — no anchoring to prior conclusions.

Two agents independently evaluate. When both converge on the same state, that's signal. When they diverge, that's where the real diligence begins.

MARKOV AGENTS · 2026
Systems online